When speaking of cosmic
collision, one great enough to cause an
extinction level event, often termed E.L.E. occur
every 100 million years on average. Therefore, we
might not expect such event to happen during the
coarse of human evolution. Despite such small
odds, much effort should be made to prevent such
disaster. Should such rare object from outer
space hit Earth, humans along with about 40
percent of all life will disappear in a cosmic
blink of an eye!
Collisions do happen regulary!
Have you ever seen a shooting star? The Earth's
atmosphere is able to burn up anything smaller
than 30 feet in diameter. Larger collisions
resulting in the likeness of the Barringer Crater
in Arizona, USA, happens about every 1000 years.
Asteroids in the 1 kilometer range will hit about
every 500,000 years. Craters can rarely be seen
from collisons because the Earth is seventy
percent covered with water. Additionally, being
the most geologically active of the inner planets
of the solar system, craters will erode away in
short periods of time.
One might ask how often people
get killed from asteroids. The ancient Chinese
have recorded a few incidents of such deaths
making maybe 2 or 3 people known. Since people
and man made objects occupy a very small
percentage of Earth's surface, the odds are
astronomically small. How many people won the
state lottery 9 times? :-)
In order to better understand
cosmic collisions, explorations to Luna and Mars
would be necessary. This can usaully be done via
advance robotic probes. With Luna not having an
atmosphere, craters are well preserved from the
early days of the solar system. Mars however will
provide better understanding since there is
minimal geological changes.
Additionally, federal and private
grants alike should be invested in locating Near
Earth Objects (NEO). Locating, tracking, and
preparing planetary defenses against NEOs would
cost each person on Earth about 25 cents a year
through the year 2030. Planetary defenses would
typically include space platforms orbiting about
1 million kilometers from Earth sporting space
telescopes, robotic probes, and nuclear warheads.
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